Various CDC data on Pneumonia and Influenza and COVID-19 deaths from April 16-17, 2020 [charts with improved formatting]

Pneumonia and Influenza (P&I) Mortality Surveillance

Based on National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance data available on April 16, 2020, 11.9% of the deaths occurring during the week ending April 11, 2020 (week 15) were due to P&I. This percentage is above the epidemic threshold of 7.0% for week 15.

Pneumonia and Influenza Mortality Surveillance from the National Center for Health Statistics Mortality Surveillance System

Information for selected week and previous two weeks, national summary, all ages

Week

Number of Influenza Deaths

Number of Pneumonia Deaths

Total Deaths

Percent Complete

Selected Week (week 15)

206

3,081

27,688

58.2%

Week 14

342

6,017

49,292

> 100%

Week 13

355

5,016

52,285

> 100%

Provisional Death Counts for Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19)

Note: Provisional death counts are based on death certificate data received and coded by the National Center for Health Statistics as of April 17, 2020. Death counts are delayed and may differ from other published sources (see Technical Notes). Counts will be updated periodically. Additional information will be added to this site as available.

[Note] Coronavirus disease deaths are identified using the ICD–10 code U07.1. Deaths are coded to U07.1 when coronavirus disease 2019 or COVID-19 are reported as a cause that contributed to death on the death certificate. These can include laboratory confirmed cases, as well as cases without laboratory confirmation. If the certifier suspects COVID-19 or determines it was likely (e.g., the circumstances were compelling within a reasonable degree of certainty), they can report COVID-19 as “probable” or “presumed” on the death certificate (5, 6).

Pneumonia deaths are identified using underlying cause-of-death codes from the 10th Revision of ICD (ICD–10): J12–J18, excluding deaths that involve influenza (J09–J11). Influenza deaths are identified from the ICD–10 codes J09–J11, and include deaths with pneumonia or COVID-19 listed as a contributing cause of death.

Table 1. Deaths involving coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), pneumonia, and influenza reported to NCHS by week ending date, United States. Week ending 2/1/2020 to 4/11/2020.*

Data as of April 17, 2020

Week ending date in which the death occurred

COVID-19 Deaths (U07.1)1

Deaths from All Causes

Percent of Expected Deaths2

Pneumonia Deaths
(J12.0–J18.9)3

Deaths with Pneumonia and COVID-19
(J12.0–J18.9 and U07.1)3

Influenza Deaths
(J09–J11)4

Population5

Total Deaths

13,130

582,565

92

45,019

5,902

5,228

327,167,434

2/1/2020

0

56,589

95

3,639

0

454

327,167,434

2/8/2020

0

57,114

96

3,633

0

488

327,167,434

2/15/2020

0

56,143

95

3,638

0

499

327,167,434

2/22/2020

0

55,690

96

3,491

0

516

327,167,434

2/29/2020

5

55,036

96

3,516

3

586

327,167,434

3/7/2020

20

54,476

94

3,614

11

566

327,167,434

3/14/2020

44

52,704

92

3,586

22

558

327,167,434

3/21/2020

454

52,271

92

4,005

209

479

327,167,434

3/28/2020

2,339

53,687

96

5,185

1,090

368

327,167,434

4/4/2020

5,457

52,992

95

6,549

2,620

371

327,167,434

4/11/2020

4,811

35,863

65

4,163

1,947

343

327,167,434

NOTE: Number of deaths reported in this table are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period.

*Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.

1Deaths with confirmed or presumed COVID-19, coded to ICD–10 code U07.1

2Percent of expected deaths is the number of deaths for all causes for this week in 2020 compared to the average number across the same week in 2017–2019. Previous analyses of 2015–2016 provisional data completeness have found that completeness is lower in the first few weeks following the date of death (8).

3Pneumonia death counts exclude pneumonia deaths involving influenza.

4Influenza death counts include deaths with pneumonia or COVID-19 also listed as a cause of death.

5Population is based on 2018 postcensal estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau (9)

Table 2. Deaths involving coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), pneumonia, and influenza reported to NCHS by age group, United States. Week ending 2/1/2020 to 4/11/2020.*

Data as of April 17, 2020

Age group

COVID-19 Deaths (U07.1)1

Deaths from All Causes

Pneumonia Deaths
(J12.0–J18.9)2

Deaths with Pneumonia and COVID-19
(J12.0–J18.9 and U07.1)2

Influenza Deaths
(J09–J11)3

Population4

All ages

13,130

582,565

45,019

5,902

5,228

327,167,434

Under 1 year

0

3,084

26

0

11

3,848,208

1–4 years

2

608

31

2

27

15,962,067

5–14 years

1

902

29

0

36

41,075,169

15–24 years

13

5,204

104

5

37

42,970,800

25–34 years

113

11,017

317

44

117

45,697,774

35–44 years

289

15,826

692

99

188

41,277,888

45–54 years

751

30,494

1,804

299

441

41,631,699

55–64 years

1,773

73,874

5,404

746

963

42,272,636

65–74 years

2,919

114,652

9,293

1,232

1,152

30,492,316

75–84 years

3,576

144,138

12,476

1,698

1,165

15,394,374

85 years and over

3,693

182,766

14,843

1,777

1,091

6,544,503

Table 3. Deaths involving coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), pneumonia, and influenza reported to NCHS by sex, United States. Week ending 2/1/2020 to 4/11/2020.*

Data as of April 17, 2020

Sex

COVID-19 Deaths (U07.1)1

Deaths from All Causes

Pneumonia Deaths
(J12.0–J18.9)2

Deaths with Pneumonia and COVID-19
(J12.0–J18.9 and U07.1)2

Influenza Deaths
(J09–J11)3

Total deaths

13,130

582,565

45,019

5,902

5,228

Male

7,823

300,021

23,876

3,469

2,659

Female

5,307

282,524

21,143

2,433

2,569

Unknown

0

20

0

0

0

NOTE: Number of deaths reported in this table are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period.

*Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.

1Deaths with confirmed or presumed COVID-19, coded to ICD–10 code U07.1.

2Pneumonia death counts exclude pneumonia deaths involving influenza.

3Influenza death counts include deaths with pneumonia or COVID-19 also listed as a cause of death.

Table 4. Deaths involving coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), pneumonia, and influenza reported to NCHS by place of death, United States. Week ending 2/1/2020 to 4/11/2020.*

Data as of April 17, 2020

Place of death

COVID-19 Deaths (U07.1)1

Deaths from All Causes

Pneumonia Deaths
(J12.0–J18.9)2

Deaths with Pneumonia and COVID-19
(J12.0–J18.9 and U07.1)2

Influenza Deaths
(J09–J11)3

Total

13,130

582,565

45,019

5,902

5,228

Healthcare setting, inpatient

9,385

166,008

30,549

4,769

3,411

Healthcare setting, outpatient or emergency room

788

34,970

1,735

301

164

Healthcare setting, dead on arrival

19

1,552

38

7

10

Decedent's home

1,140

188,257

3,583

118

900

Hospice facility

140

43,445

2,549

78

269

Nursing home/long term care facility

1,550

111,415

5,800

595

407

Other

107

36,824

755

33

67

Place of death unknown

1

94

10

1

0

NOTE: Number of deaths reported in this table are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period.

*Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.

1Deaths with confirmed or presumed COVID-19, coded to ICD–10 code U07.1.

2Pneumonia death counts exclude pneumonia deaths involving influenza.

3Influenza death counts include deaths with pneumonia or COVID-19 also listed as a cause of death.

















Cases and mortality by country

[https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/mortality last updated on Tuesday, April 28, 2020 at 11:52 PM EDT]

Country

Confirmed

Deaths

Case-Fatality

Deaths/100k pop.

US

1,012,582

58,355

5.8%

17.84

Italy

201,505

27,359

13.6%

45.27

Spain

232,128

23,822

10.3%

50.98

France

169,053

23,694

14.0%

35.37

United Kingdom

162,350

21,745

13.4%

32.70

Belgium

47,334

7,331

15.5%

64.18

Germany

159,912

6,314

3.9%

7.61

Iran

92,584

5,877

6.3%

7.18

Brazil

73,235

5,083

6.9%

2.43

China

83,940

4,637

5.5%

0.33

Netherlands

38,612

4,582

11.9%

26.59

Turkey

114,653

2,992

2.6%

3.63

Canada

51,150

2,983

5.8%

8.05

Sweden

19,621

2,355

12.0%

23.13

Switzerland

29,264

1,699

5.8%

19.95

Mexico

16,752

1,569

9.4%

1.24

Ireland

19,877

1,159

5.8%

23.88

India

31,324

1,008

3.2%

0.07

Portugal

24,322

948

3.9%

9.22

Ecuador

24,258

871

3.6%

5.10

Russia

93,558

867

0.9%

0.60

Peru

31,190

854

2.7%

2.67

Indonesia

9,511

773

8.1%

0.29

Romania

11,616

663

5.7%

3.40

Poland

12,218

596

4.9%

1.57

Austria

15,357

569

3.7%

6.43

Philippines

7,958

530

6.7%

0.50

Algeria

3,649

437

12.0%

1.03

Denmark

9,049

434

4.8%

7.49

Japan

13,736

394

2.9%

0.31

Egypt

5,042

359

7.1%

0.36

Pakistan

14,612

312

2.1%

0.15

Hungary

2,649

291

11.0%

2.98

Dominican Republic

6,416

286

4.5%

2.69

Colombia

5,949

269

4.5%

0.54

Korea, South

10,761

246

2.3%

0.48

Ukraine

9,410

239

2.5%

0.54

Czechia

7,504

227

3.0%

2.14

Israel

15,728

210

1.3%

2.36

Chile

14,365

207

1.4%

1.11

Argentina

4,127

207

5.0%

0.47

Norway

7,660

206

2.7%

3.88

Finland

4,740

199

4.2%

3.61

Panama

6,021

167

2.8%

4.00

Morocco

4,252

165

3.9%

0.46

Bangladesh

6,462

155

2.4%

0.10

Saudi Arabia

20,077

152

0.8%

0.45

Greece

2,566

138

5.4%

1.29

Serbia

6,630

125

1.9%

1.79

Moldova

3,638

103

2.8%

2.90

Malaysia

5,851

100

1.7%

0.32

South Africa

4,996

93

1.9%

0.16

Iraq

1,928

90

4.7%

0.23

United Arab Emirates

11,380

89

0.8%

0.92

Luxembourg

3,741

89

2.4%

14.64

Australia

6,744

89

1.3%

0.36

Slovenia

1,408

86

6.1%

4.16

Belarus

12,208

79

0.6%

0.83

North Macedonia

1,421

71

5.0%

3.41

Honduras

702

64

9.1%

0.67

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1,585

63

4.0%

1.90

Croatia

2,047

63

3.1%

1.54

Afghanistan

1,828

58

3.2%

0.16

Cuba

1,437

58

4.0%

0.51

Cameroon

1,705

58

3.4%

0.23

Bulgaria

1,399

58

4.1%

0.83

Thailand

2,938

54

1.8%

0.08

Bolivia

1,014

53

5.2%

0.47

Estonia

1,660

50

3.0%

3.79

Lithuania

1,344

44

3.3%

1.58

Nigeria

1,532

44

2.9%

0.02

Burkina Faso

638

42

6.6%

0.21

Andorra

743

41

5.5%

53.24

San Marino

553

41

7.4%

121.36

Tunisia

975

40

4.1%

0.35

Niger

709

31

4.4%

0.14

Armenia

1,867

30

1.6%

1.02

Congo (Kinshasa)

471

30

6.4%

0.04

Albania

750

30

4.0%

1.05

Somalia

528

28

5.3%

0.19

Sudan

318

25

7.9%

0.06

Kazakhstan

3,027

25

0.8%

0.14

Mali

424

24

5.7%

0.13

Lebanon

717

24

3.3%

0.35

Kuwait

3,440

23

0.7%

0.56

Azerbaijan

1,717

22

1.3%

0.22

Slovakia

1,384

20

1.4%

0.37

New Zealand

1,474

19

1.3%

0.39

Ghana

1,671

16

1.0%

0.05

Liberia

141

16

11.3%

0.33

Cyprus

837

15

1.8%

1.26

Uruguay

625

15

2.4%

0.43

Guatemala

530

15

2.8%

0.09

Kenya

374

14

3.7%

0.03

Singapore

14,951

14

0.1%

0.25

Cote d'Ivoire

1,183

14

1.2%

0.06

Latvia

836

13

1.6%

0.67

Diamond Princess

712

13

1.8%

nan

Kosovo

510

12

2.4%

0.65

Bahamas

80

11

13.8%

nan

Iceland

1,795

10

0.6%

2.83

Oman

2,131

10

0.5%

0.21

Mauritius

334

10

3.0%

0.79

Tanzania

299

10

3.3%

0.02

Qatar

11,921

10

0.1%

0.36

Venezuela

329

10

3.0%

0.03

Paraguay

239

9

3.8%

0.13

Senegal

823

9

1.1%

0.06

Bahrain

2,811

8

0.3%

0.51

El Salvador

345

8

2.3%

0.12

Uzbekistan

1,939

8

0.4%

0.02

Trinidad and Tobago

116

8

6.9%

0.58

Congo (Brazzaville)

207

8

3.9%

0.15

Guyana

74

8

10.8%

1.03

Jordan

449

8

1.8%

0.08

Kyrgyzstan

708

8

1.1%

0.13

Guinea

1,240

7

0.6%

0.06

Sri Lanka

619

7

1.1%

0.03

Montenegro

321

7

2.2%

1.12

Jamaica

364

7

1.9%

0.24

Taiwan*

429

6

1.4%

0.03

Costa Rica

705

6

0.9%

0.12

Togo

99

6

6.1%

0.08

Georgia

511

6

1.2%

0.16

Haiti

76

6

7.9%

0.05

Barbados

80

6

7.5%

2.09

Burma

150

5

3.3%

nan

Zimbabwe

32

4

12.5%

0.03

Malta

458

4

0.9%

0.83

Monaco

95

4

4.2%

10.34

Sierra Leone

104

4

3.8%

0.05

Malawi

36

3

8.3%

0.02

Antigua and Barbuda

24

3

12.5%

3.12

Gabon

238

3

1.3%

0.14

Nicaragua

13

3

23.1%

0.05

Ethiopia

126

3

2.4%

0.00

Zambia

95

3

3.2%

0.02

Syria

43

3

7.0%

nan























Total Coronavirus Cases in the United States https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ Last updated: April 30, 2020, 9:49 EDT,

listed in order of Deaths per 1M pop, with improved formatting by me, by the grace of God.



Table 2. Deaths involving coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), pneumonia, and influenza reported to NCHS by age group, United States. Week ending 2/1/2020 to 4/25/2020.*

Data as of April 29, 2020 [improved formatting added]

Age group

COVID-19 Deaths (U07.1)1

Deaths from All Causes

Pneumonia Deaths
(J12.0–J18.9)2

Deaths with Pneumonia and COVID-19
(J12.0–J18.9 and U07.1)2

Influenza Deaths
(J09–J11)3

Population4

All ages

33,513

706,401

61,898

14,910

5,792

327,167,434

Under 1 year

4

3,662

34

1

11

3,848,208

1–4 years

2

704

33

2

30

15,962,067

5–14 years

3

1,057

37

0

40

41,075,169

15–24 years

37

6,251

130

15

41

42,970,800

25–34 years

253

13,296

438

106

130

45,697,774

35–44 years

627

19,177

991

249

205

41,277,888

45–54 years

1,721

37,124

2,556

710

508

41,631,699

55–64 years

4,199

89,413

7,497

1,844

1,068

42,272,636

65–74 years

7,220

139,006

12,862

3,177

1,264

30,492,316

75–84 years

9,142

174,636

17,096

4,178

1,291

15,394,374

85 years and over

10,305

222,075

20,224

4,628

1,204

6,544,503

NOTE: Number of deaths reported in this table are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period.

*Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.

1Deaths with confirmed or presumed COVID-19, coded to ICD–10 code U07.1.

2Pneumonia death counts exclude pneumonia deaths involving influenza.

3Influenza death counts include deaths with pneumonia or COVID-19 also listed as a cause of death.

4Population is based on 2018 postcensal estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau (9)

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/index.htm






























Central Pa current and future...Joe Bastardi












A chilly weather pattern for May set more cold temperature records in parts of the East into midweek.

Numerous record lows were already set Mother's Day weekend, and an area of low pressure wrung out strange May snow in the interior Northeast.

The record-breaking cold weather was from a southward plunge of the jet stream in place to the east of the Rockies. That allowed a pipeline of cold air to dive southward from Canada into parts of the central and eastern United States.

All-time May record lows were set Saturday morning, May 9, in Binghamton, New York (24 degrees); Fort Wayne, Indiana (23 degrees); Indianapolis (27 degrees); New York's LaGuardia Airport (36 degrees) and Jackson, Kentucky (30 degrees). State College, Pennsylvania (27 degrees), New York's JFK Airport (34 degrees) and London, Kentucky (28 degrees), tied their all-time May records Saturday morning.

According to the National Weather Service, prior to Saturday, the latest spring date Fort Wayne, Indiana, plunged to 23 degrees was April 20, 1897, and 1904, almost three weeks earlier in the spring.

Nashville, Tennessee, also plunged to its coldest low so late in spring Saturday morning, beating its previous record-latest 35-degree low by three days.

Washington's Reagan National Airport (37 degrees) dipped to its coldest May low since 1966. Peoria, Illinois, had its latest spring freeze since 1971.


Van Wert, Ohio, plunged to 18 degrees Saturday morning, the first time it had dropped into the teens in May in 127 years of records.

Wind chills were as cold as the teens, even upper single digits, in parts of the East Saturday morning.

Boston's temperature only rose to 44 degrees Saturday afternoon, setting a new record-cold high temperature for May 9.

New daily record lows for May 10 were set Sunday morning in Trenton, New Jersey (31 degrees); Richmond, Virginia (32 degrees); Shreveport, Louisiana (47 degrees); and Wilmington, North Carolina (41 degrees). Boston and Providence, Rhode Island, both tied their daily record lows of 34 degrees Sunday morning.

New daily record lows for May 11 were set Monday morning in Bismarck, North Dakota (24 degrees – tie), International Falls, Minnesota (21 degrees), and Columbia, Missouri (36 degrees).

Daily record lows were tied or broken on Tuesday morning, May 12, in International Falls, Minnesota (18 degrees), Rochester, New York (30 degrees, tied), Columbus, Ohio (32 degrees), Dayton, Ohio (32 degrees), Wilmington, North Carolina (45 degrees, tied).

On May 12, both Cape Girardeau, Missouri (54 degrees), and Paducah, Kentucky (56 degrees), both had their coldest day so late in the season since 1981.

On May 13, Rochester, New York, had its coldest May morning in 41 years.


Snow Notables

Pittsburgh reported a trace of snow both on May 8 and May 9, the first consecutive May days of snow there in 97 years.Detroit topped them, recording at least a trace of snow five straight days, a record such streak for May in the Motor City. The previous streak set 80 years ago was only three straight days.

And, as noted by National Weather Service-Charleston, West Virginia, meteorologist Nick Webb, Snowshoe, West Virginia, set its record 24-hour May snowfall in 45 years of records. Elkins, West Virginia, also set a new 24-hour May snow record, picking up 1.5 inches of snow on May 8.This forecast prompted the National Weather Service office in Caribou, Maine, to issue its first May winter storm warning in at least 15 years.

Rare May lake-effect snowbands and snow squalls spread across the Great Lakes and interior Northeast on Saturday. Overpasses were snow-covered in parts of western Pennsylvania, according to live cams. Graupel mixed in across parts of the Interstate 95 corridor.

Parts of upstate New York, Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine picked up 3 to 6 inches of snow, with up to 14 inches in eastern Maine.

One location near the Vermont-New York border northeast of Albany at an elevation of 1,300 feet reported 1 foot of new snow Saturday morning.

Light snow accumulations were reported in parts of western and central Massachusetts and the Litchfield Hills of northern Connecticut. https://weather.com/forecast/regional/news/2020-05-07-mothers-day-weekend-record-cold-snow-bombogenesis-extreme-pattern

24